Bitcoin Settles Above $43,000, But What Does The 4-Year Cycle Say?
2022年2月9日 - 11:00AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has already lost its footing above $44K after breaking the
coveted point to much fanfare. The downtrend has not been
significant in any way but the digital asset could still end up
losing more ground before the end of the trading day. Nevertheless,
it has been a good run for bitcoin coming out of the weekend. As
the cryptocurrency has made its bottom above $43,000, what could be
expected going forward? Bitcoin In Four-Year Cycles As bitcoin has
settled above $43,000, looking at other metrics to figure out where
the digital asset may be headed has become imperative. In this
report, we take a look at bitcoin through 4-year cycles and what it
has often meant for the asset. Four years is important to the
movement of bitcoin given that things like halvings happen in such
timeframes. But for this, we take a look at the monthly EMA50 and
how it works as the last correctional support before takeoff.
Related Reading | TA: Bitcoin is Surging, Why Bulls Could Aim
More Upsides The monthly exponential moving average is calculated
using the past 50 periods. It is used to obtain the average price
at which an asset has been acquired over a 50-day period. Thus,
making it a widely used support level. Over the years, at four-year
intervals, the monthly EMA50 has served to show the final
correction support for bitcoin. The first time was between 2009 to
2013, a four-year period that ended with the monthly EMA50 working
as the final correction support. The same happens between 2013 and
2017, 2017 and 2021, with the next happening between 2021 and 2025.
For each of these, the monthly EMA50 has always stopped highly than
the previous four-year cycle. Likewise, the price of bitcoin has
not gone below this point. If this stays true, then bitcoin is
likely forming its support higher than $30,000. Continuing on, this
trend would put the price of the digital asset as high as $220,000
over the next four years. EMA50 marks four-year cycles | Source:
TradingView.com BTC On The Charts Long-term, bitcoin shows
tremendous promise. With adoption expected to rise and supply on
the decline, it would impose scarcity on the asset, making it even
more valuable. However, in the short term, BTC continues to
struggle price-wise. Related Reading | The Bear Signal That
Suggests Another Bitcoin Crash Is Coming After fighting its way out
of a bear trend, it remains up to the bulls to pull out from
underneath the bears. Market sentiment is getting better but still
remains mostly negative, making investors wary of putting more
money into the market. Bitcoin is now trading in the $43,500
territory at the time of this writing. It lost about $2K after
bursting through $45,000 in the early hours of Tuesday. But it has
begun to recover after falling near $43,000. BTC slips to $43K |
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Featured image from Tokeneo,
charts from TradingView.com
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