Bitcoin Price Deviates From Global M2 Money Supply, Is The Bull Run Over?
2025年6月21日 - 3:00AM
NEWSBTC
Crypto analyst Colin has highlighted the Bitcoin price’s deviation
from the Global M2 money supply, raising concerns that the bull run
may be over. The analyst quickly addressed concerns, noting how
such deviations usually happen at some point but don’t invalidate
the macro trend. Analyst Highlights Bitcoin Price’s Deviation
From Global M2 Money Supply In an X post, Colin revealed that the
Bitcoin price has deviated from the global M2 money supply. He
noted that this deviation was short-term in an otherwise broad
correlation. The analyst added that this current deviation is
similar to the position that BTC was in February 2025.
Related Reading: Will The Bitcoin Price Move Above $110,000 Again?
Global M2 Money Supply Shows What’s Next Colin remarked that this
development doesn’t mean the M2 is broken, just as it wasn’t broken
back in February. Instead, he claimed that it just means that
market participants haven’t zoomed out enough and are allowing for
the non-correlated periods. The analyst added that non-correlation
between the Bitcoin price and global M2 money supply happens 20% of
the time. He then alluded to the regular chart, which shows
the strong correlation between the Bitcoin price and the global M2
money supply. Colin explained that the M2 is “directionally
predictive” for BTC and that it is not 1:1 price-related. The
analyst further remarked that the M2 does not predict a specific
BTC price. Instead, the global M2 money supply only predicts
the market direction, with about 80% accuracy. Colin added that the
Bitcoin price has its y-axis while the M2 is on a different y-axis.
He also opined that the M2 may decouple from BTC near the cycle
top. Although the analyst didn’t provide a timeline for when the
cycle top will be, his analysis indicates that the cycle top is not
yet in and the bull run isn’t over. Money Supply Shows No
Need To Worry About BTC Price In an X post, market expert Raoul Pal
suggested that the Bitcoin price’s correlation with the money
supply shows that there is no need to worry about the current price
action. He remarked that if 89% of BTC’s price action is explained
by global liquidity, then by definition, almost all “news” and
“narrative” is noise. Related Reading: Brace For Impact:
Bitcoin Price Primed For Deep Correction Below $90,000 This
suggests that the current geopolitical risks, heightened by the
Israel-Iran conflict, are unlikely to impact the Bitcoin price as
much as expected. Trading firm QCP Capital recently noted that the
flagship crypto has yet to show full-blown panic, which shows how
much the asset has matured. The firm remarked that BTC’s
resilient price action appears underpinned by continued
institutional accumulation, with companies like Strategy and
Metaplanet buying the dip. The Bitcoin ETFs also continue to record
positive flows. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is
trading at around $104,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to
data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart
from Tradingview.com
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